Skip to content
Home » Football » Derby County vs Millwall

Derby County vs Millwall

Expert Analysis: Derby County vs Millwall

This match-up between Derby County and Millwall promises to be an exciting encounter, with both teams showcasing strong attacking potential. The average total goals predicted at 3.59 suggest a high-scoring game, making it an intriguing prospect for bettors. Derby County’s ability to score, as indicated by their average of 1.76 goals, alongside Millwall’s conceding average of 2.52 goals, points towards a potentially open and entertaining match. The likelihood of over 0.5 goals in the first half at 82.40 and over 1.5 goals overall at 75.20 further supports the expectation of a goal-rich game.

Betting Predictions

  • Over 0.5 Goals HT: With a probability of 82.40, expect both teams to be active in the first half.
  • Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half: This is less likely at 81.20, indicating early action.
  • Over 1.5 Goals: A strong chance at 75.20, suggesting a lively game.
  • Home Team To Score In 2nd Half: Likely to happen at 71.90, hinting at Derby’s resilience.
  • Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half: Less probable at 69.10, maintaining the scoring momentum.
  • Under 5.5 Cards: Expected at 70.50, indicating controlled aggression.
  • Both Teams To Score: High probability at 69.80, reinforcing the attacking nature.
  • Away Team Not To Score In 1st Half: Possible at 56.50, suggesting an early home advantage.
  • Away Team To Score In 2nd Half: Likely at 58.00, pointing to Millwall’s comeback potential.
  • Last Goal 73+ Minutes: Expected at 55.00, indicating late drama.
  • Goal In Last 15 Minutes: Highly probable at 54.80, adding excitement towards the end.
  • Under 4.5 Cards: Expected at 52.60, suggesting discipline.
  • Under 2.5 Goals: Less likely at 50.80, supporting a higher scoring game.
  • First Goal Between Minute 0-29: Possible at 50.10, indicating early action.

Tactical Insights

Derby County’s strength lies in their offensive capabilities, with an average of 1.76 goals scored per game, while Millwall’s defense is somewhat vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.52 goals per match. This dynamic suggests that Derby may capitalize on their scoring prowess early in the game, especially given the high probability of a goal between minutes 0-29 (50.10). Millwall will need to tighten their defense to avoid conceding early goals and potentially disrupt Derby’s rhythm.

The betting odds reflect a game that could see multiple goals and late goals, with both teams expected to score (69.80) and a high likelihood of a goal in the last quarter (54.80). This makes it an appealing match for those interested in dynamic and unpredictable outcomes.

Cards and Discipline

With an average of yellow cards at 2.31 and red cards at 0.86 per match, discipline will be key for both teams to avoid unnecessary suspensions and maintain their competitive edge throughout the season.